What's Better, Ethanol or Gas?
By Bill Siuru

Millions of clean-running alternative fuel vehicles are plying
American roads, ready and waiting to fill their tanks with ethanol
fuel. These are flexible-fuel vehicles, or FFVs, marketed by Ford,
General Motors, DaimlerChrysler, Isuzu, Mazda, and Mercedes-Benz
since the late 1990s. FFVs are so-named because they can operate
seamlessly on any mixture of E85 (a blend of 85 percent ethanol
and 15 percent unleaded gasoline) or straight unleaded gasoline
from the same tank.
Ethanol, or ethyl alcohol, is a clean burning fuel typically produced
from corn, although other grains like wheat or barley can also be
used. These feedstocks are abundantly available in this country.
Besides its advantages as a renewable and domestically available
biofuel, ethanol combustion in engines also results in modest reductions
of harmful hydrocarbon and benzene emissions, as well as reduced
carbon dioxide, a greenhouse gas.
Hmmm… domestically produced by American farmers and producers,
lower emissions, and a huge number of vehicles with tanks a-waiting.
So why is there such a monumental disconnect that finds millions
of FFVs on the highway and only about 175 stations nationwide where
drivers can fill up on E85?
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| 2007 Chevrolet Impala |
This dichotomy is good example of what can occur when technology
outpaces society’s ability to apply its use, in this case
primarily due to economics and, unfortunately, politics. It’s
also an example of how government incentives and subsidies can have
unintended consequences. Lessons learned from the FFV experience
should be examined and applied as the nation embarks on a path that
will find us potentially using a much more technically challenging
and expensive alternative fuel: hydrogen.
The dilemma can be traced directly to the Alternative Motor Fuels
Act (AMFA) passed by Congress in 1988, a law that gives automakers
incentives to develop and market vehicles that use fuels other than
gasoline. Manufacturers can receive a credit of up to 1.2 miles-per-gallon
for each FFV produced that can be applied toward meeting their Corporate
Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) requirements. Unfortunately, there is
no corresponding incentive to encourage development of a refueling
infrastructure, which brings us to the nearly nonexistent E85 refueling
infrastructure today.
Establishing an E85 infrastructure presents a significantly larger
challenge than getting engines to run well on E85. Since alcohol
fuels like ethanol cannot be moved readily through existing petroleum
distribution pipelines, it must be transported by barge, rail, or
truck. Contrasting this, modifying an engine to run on E85 is not
that difficult, requiring a fuel sensor for detecting the real-time
ratio of ethanol to gasoline being supplied to the engine at any
given point in time and optimizing engine and fuel settings for
this mixture. Items like stainless steel fuel tanks, Teflon-lined
fuel lines, and modified injectors must also be used to ensure compatibility
with ethanol since it’s a much more corrosive fuel than gasoline.
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| 2007 Dodge Grand Caravan |
From a vehicle standpoint, the AMFA incentive is a resounding success.
Manufacturers driven by the additional CAFE credits made more than
a million FFVs last year and expect to produce twice as many in
2004.
Popular models that can run on gasoline or E85 range from the Ford
Explorer and Chevrolet Silverado to the Dodge Stratus and Mercedes-Benz
C320. These vehicles are available in many, but not all, states, so
check with your local dealer or your dealer’s fleet department
to confirm availability in your area.
Still, while the vehicle end is a success, all this has not accomplished
the AMFA’s primary intended goal of reducing the nation’s
dependence on imported oil, not to mention significantly decreasing
C02 emissions. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
(NHTSA), extending these credits without expanding the availability
of E85 actually increases petroleum consumption and greenhouse gas
emissions. That’s because FFVs operating almost entirely on
gasoline effectively decrease the CAFE for this FFV fleet by about
1.2 mpg. The credits given for the unused ethanol equates to somewhere
between 20 to 56 million additional barrels of oil used annually.
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| 2007 Jeep Grand Cherokee |
Several solutions to this so-called CAFE loophole have been proposed.
One calls for Congress to amend the existing AMFA law to only allow
CAFE credits when automakers can certify that their AFVs actually
use the alternative fuel. In effect, though, this would penalize the
auto industry unfairly since automakers have done their part in developing
and marketing FFVs. This strategy could potentially sour automakers’
interest in all AFVs and drastically reduce future investment in other
fuel alternatives including hydrogen.
Additionally, if automakers no longer have incremental CAFE credits
as an incentive for producing FFVs, they will most certainly stop
making them since the incremental cost of making FFVs is now being
absorbed in return for the CAFE credits. A more viable solution may
be incentives for fuel providers to ensure that adequate fueling facilities
are readily available anywhere AFVs are sold. Potentially, this could
be federal income tax investment credits for each new alternative
fueling site, which would cover most of the cost and thus make establishing
these fueling sites attractive.
The infrastructure problem is compounded because ethanol is not a
petroleum-based product, thus the petroleum industry has shown little
interest in offering it. Indeed, ethanol is viewed as a competitor.
In the U.S., three producers dominate the ethanol market and the largest,
Archer Daniels Midland, controls nearly 40 percent of that market.
Because there are so few producers, some fear the potential that supplies
could be artificially limited and prices potentially manipulated upward.
Additionally, an unintended consequence is that food prices could
increase if it turns out that it’s more profitable to convert
farm products to fuel rather than food.
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| 2007 Nissan Armada |
The ethanol lobby carries substantial clout in Washington and so has
been able to obtain subsidies that distort the true market price of
this alternative fuel. Since 1996, crop subsidies alone have been
worth nearly $30 billion to the ethanol industry. Ethanol opponents
make the case that these subsidies are taking money from taxpayers
and giving it to the few ethanol producers, and thousands of corn
farmers, without replacing any petroleum or even providing a cleaner
fuel. Since ethanol receives a tax subsidy, a gallon of ethanol is
taxed 5.3 cents less than a gallon of gasoline, which means that less
tax revenue is funneled into the Highway Trust Fund for repairing
and replacing roads and bridges. On the other hand, ethanol proponents
suggest that with military assets protecting the flow of imported
oil, the true price of gasoline is significantly distorted as well.
In use, most people will not be able to discern the difference between
driving on E85 and regular gasoline. While ethanol does produce fewer
BTUs (less energy) than gasoline, it has a significantly higher octane
rating than unleaded gasoline (100-105 octane versus 85-90). Testing
of Ford FFV engines show about a 5 percent increase in horsepower
when operating on E85. However, offsetting this is that drivers will
notice a 5 to 15 percent decrease in fuel economy, depending on ambient
temperatures and driving conditions.
This disparity could be improved if FFVs were optimized for E85, which
is presently not the case – another consequence of the absence
of E85 availability. Because of lower miles-per-gallon and the now
higher per-gallon cost for E85, vehicle operating costs will go up.
Currently, ethanol demands higher pump prices because this alcohol
fuel is more difficult for refiners to blend with gasoline and also
more expensive to ship into areas where corn is not grown.
What could make E85 the fuel of choice for motorists in the absence
of government mandates? The best answer is the economics of the marketplace.
If the price of gasoline climbs to a point where it equals or exceeds
E85, drivers will soon be demanding E85 for their FFVs and traditional
fuel suppliers will see a profit in meeting the demand. Such interest
could be accelerated by an oil shortage such as a disruption of oil
from the Mideast, something this country has seen before.
In a sense, you might even say the millions of FFVs on American roads
today are as much an emergency energy resource as the millions of
barrels of oil in the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
That’s food…or rather, fuel…for thought.
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